The latest on EFCA swing-vote Sen. Arlen Specter via the Allentown Morning Call‘s Pennsylvania Avenue blog:

Sen. Arlen Specter, addressing a crowd of union activists outside of the Democratic Committee meeting in Pittsburgh on Saturday, urged them to look at the breadth of his job-producing past and votes alongside labor when considering who they’ll back for Senate in 2010.

But with the crowd of a couple hundred solely focused on the Employee Free Choice Act, Specter pleaded with some more hostile activists that they’ll be happy with his vote on the union organizing bill.

"I understand," Specter said after one member of the crowd shouted "You want my vote, I want your vote."

"I believe you’ll be satisfied with my vote on this issue," Specter said.

At The Weekly Standard, John McCormack posts:

When Specter announced his opposition to EFCA in March, he came out against both the card-check and binding arbitration provisions.   . . .   I’d be surprised if a watered-down EFCA bill didn’t include some sort of binding arbitration provision, so be prepared for another unsurprisingly shameless Specter flip-flop.

Similarly, at National Review Online‘s The Corner, former NLRB Member Peter Kirsanow suggests:

. . . It’s highly unlikely Labor would be "satisfied" with any version of EFCA that doesn’t exponentially improve the odds of unionization. It’s also unlikely that Labor would be "satisfied" with a bill that doesn’t have some form of mandatory arbitration.  

When Franken is seated, Specter will be the magical 60th vote for cloture on EFCA. Specter knows that if he derails a version of the bill satisfactory to Labor, he may well derail his prospects in the Democratic primary. Therefore, Specter may be signaling support for a bill that contains quickie elections and equal access, as well as a modified form of mandatory arbitration — perhaps one triggered by bargaining delays.